SN Tripathi Memorial Lectures (2011)…

'In Uttar Pradesh Agriculture Productivity
Can Go Down Upto 25% or More on 20 oC Rise...'

Shri TN Dhar

Mr. T.N. Dhar is a senior retired officer of the Indian Administrative Service of U.P Cadre of 1956 batch.Before joining the Indian AdministrativeServicein1958,he worked for more than12year in private industry in theareas likeindustrial production, marketing and general management

During his tenure in the lAS he served the state in various capacities. Mr. Dhar has widely traveled abroad. He went to USA for a study programme in HRD and then again on various official tours to USA, U.K., Sweden, France, Germany, Egypt, Israel, China, Bangladesh, Nepal, Middle East and other countries. Mr. Dhar has been the Founder President of Lucknow and Garhwal Management Association. He served as Chairman of the Banking Services Recruitment Board at Lucknow from 1984-1990.He was Chairman of the Commission on District Administration Reforms inU.P. (1985-88),Chairman of U.P.Sangeet Natak Academy (1987 and1988) and, more recently, the Chairman of the Second State Finance Commission, U.P.(March 2000 to June 2002).

Mr.Dhar has authored or edited over fifty books, seven reports and over seventy five research papers, generally are related to public governance, energy planning, resource management, environmental safety and sustainability, HRD, etc. The first comprehensive State of Environment Report for Uttar Pradesh has been prepared by the IIPA (U.P.) in 2009. It's Lead investigator was Sri T.N.Dhar.
CLIMATE CHANGE: THE GATHERING STORM (Green House Gases Accumulation)
1. For 10,000 years before industrial revolution C02 concentration was 265-275 PPM. Then the change was a Hockey Curve since 1950s with steep rise of C02 load.
2. For 1960-2010 this concentration raised from 315 PPM (1961) to 398 in 2010 or even more.
3. In previous 10,000 years temperature variation was only 0.5°C. In the last five decade the average temperature already has raised up to 0.7°C.
4. IPPC (lnter-Govt Panel for Climate Change): sponsored 131h Conference of Parties (COP) at BALl it came out that average temp by 2100 could go up by 2.5°C-4°C or even more (most likely level 3°C).: At Copenhagen (2009) it was broadly felt that all efforts be made to keep the rise below 2°C.
Likely Consequences
1. 2.50 °C to 40 °C rise
2. Extreme weather such as heat waves,heavy precipitation, storms, tropicalhurricanes & typhoons, floods, tsunamis, droughts etc.